Last night we were hearing rumours from Downing Street, Whitehall and Buckingham Palace...
And just now it has been confirmed.I know I’m hours after the fray. But source in No10 says 48 letters are in and second source says conversations have taken place between Cabinet Office and Palace
— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) December 11, 2018
In this secret ballot of Tory MPs tonight, she needs 50% of MPs (158) to support her to stay on. However as the tweet above states, realistically anything over 100 against her will make it very difficult for her to stay on. Other considerations for MPs are;Chairman of the 1922 backbench committee Sir Graham Brady says the threshold of 48 letters of no confidence in Theresa May's leadership of the Conservative Party has been reached triggering a ballot which will take place tonight between 6pm and 8pm
— Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) December 12, 2018
- If she stays on the DUP seem likely to withdraw their support meaning the government collapses.
- Her EU Deal stands zero chance of renegotiation with Brussels meaning it won't pass the House of Commons.
- If she wins, she can't be challenged for another year which means she could very well be leading Tories into another GE.
I have to say as a Tory member, I want her to go.
Thoughts?