Labour facing 2015 wipeout in Scotland, according to latest poll

[-:Undertaker:-]

http://news.stv.tv/scotland-decides/...held-tomorrow/

Labour facing electoral oblivion in Scotland

Ipsos-MORI Westminister 2015 Scotland poll

SNP 52%
Labour 23%
Conservatives 10%
Green Party 6%
Liberal Democrats 6%
UKIP 2%

The Labour Party in Scotland would face political annihilation if there was a general election tomorrow, according to a poll commissioned by STV.

The Ipsos Mori survey shows Labour would poll 23% of the Scottish vote, leaving them with just four seats in Scotland.

In comparison, support for the SNP has surged to 52%, giving them a projected 54 seats at Westminster. The Liberal Democrats would have one and the Conservative party would be left without any Scottish MPs.

The full breakdown of the poll is SNP 52%, Scottish Labour 23%, Scottish Conservatives 10%, Scottish Liberal Democrats 6%, Scottish Green Party 6%, Ukip 2% and 1% support for others.

The 1026 participants were surveyed between October 22 and 29 as the row broke over leadership of the Scottish Labour party. They were asked how they would vote if there was a general election tomorrow.

At the 2010 general election Labour received 42% of the Scottish vote and the SNP 19.9%.

The figures, which exclude those who do not know how they would vote, would dramatically reduce Labour's 40 Scottish MPs - jeopardising Ed Miliband's chances of becoming the next prime minister.

Those who would lose their seat include Jim Murphy, who is standing to be the next leader of Scottish Labour, Douglas Alexander and Margaret Curran, according to seat predictor electoralcalculus.co.uk. The site assumes uniform swings across constituencies.

The only Scottish Labour MPs who would survive would be Willie Bain in Glasgow North East, Tom Clarke in Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill, Gordon Brown in Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath and Ian Davidson in Glasgow South West.

The Liberal Democrats would lose all but one of their seats, with only Scottish secretary Alistair Carmichael surviving and high-profile victims including Danny Alexander and Charles Kennedy.

In comparison, the SNP would go from having six seats at Westminster to 54.

STV political editor Bernard Ponsonby said: "This is the most dramatic poll findings ever to be published in Scotland and underlines the scale of the challenge for Labour leaders both north and south of the border.

"There are only two polls in recent memory which have generated as much surprise, the most recent during the independence referendum showing the Yes camp ahead, and before that you'd probably have to go back to 1992 and a poll for ITN which showed support for independence at 50% for the first time.

"Now it is a poll, not an election result, but what it does is to underline the scale of the challenge facing the new leader of Scottish Labour and the figures come as Ed Miliband arrives in Scotland to address a gala dinner in Glasgow.

"On these figures he has little chance of winning a UK election with his Scottish power base facing meltdown."

My Lord those polling results are truly mind blowing, and yet another example of how FPTP (which is always assumed to help the established parties in safe seats) can work against a main party if the swing against them is great enough. As much as my main aim is to see the Tory Party destroyed purely because it is the weaker of the two main parties, it would give me such a laugh to see Labour wiped out in Scotland (as the Tories were) which is considered one of the Labour strongholds.

Labour under serious threat in her heartlands by SNP and UKIP in northern Britain, leaking to the Greens in the metro southern areas, Tories under attack from Ukip in the shires....... it really looks like (on current trends at least) that the two main parties are decaying rapidly like the zombie organisations they are.

Thoughts?

[-:Undertaker:-]

A similar picture of a wipeout (although slightly better) for Labour in Scotland with YouGov tonight -

Apparently with the IpsosMori poll result, they conducted the poll twice as they didn't believe the jaw-dropping initial results.

Times / YouGov Scotland gen elec poll

SNP: 43% (47 seats)
Labour: 27% (10 seats)
Conservatives: 15% (1 seat)
Liberal Democrats: 4% (1 seat)

Sam Coates Times @SamCoatesTimes · 7h 7 hours ago

Times/YouGov Scotland How much do you trust Ed Miliband now: (compared with Sept 17)

Total Trust: 15% (25%)
Total not Trust: 80% (67%)

The Deputy Scottish Labour leader resigned tonight too - http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/1...0IJ2R920141030

(Reuters) - Anas Sarwar has quit his role as deputy leader of the Scottish Labour party to allow the new leadership team to be 'focused on the Scottish Parliament', the Scotsman reported.

...

Hiliarious stuff, with Scotland and the working classes leaving Labour soon all they'll have left is the imported urban immigrant vote and Primrose Hill.