Breaking: Tory Leadership Challenge - PM to face Vote of Confidence TONIGHT

[-:Undertaker:-]

Last night we were hearing rumours from Downing Street, Whitehall and Buckingham Palace...

I know I’m hours after the fray. But source in No10 says 48 letters are in and second source says conversations have taken place between Cabinet Office and Palace

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) December 11, 2018

And just now it has been confirmed.

Chairman of the 1922 backbench committee Sir Graham Brady says the threshold of 48 letters of no confidence in Theresa May's leadership of the Conservative Party has been reached triggering a ballot which will take place tonight between 6pm and 8pm

— Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) December 12, 2018

In this secret ballot of Tory MPs tonight, she needs 50% of MPs (158) to support her to stay on. However as the tweet above states, realistically anything over 100 against her will make it very difficult for her to stay on. Other considerations for MPs are;

- If she stays on the DUP seem likely to withdraw their support meaning the government collapses.
- Her EU Deal stands zero chance of renegotiation with Brussels meaning it won't pass the House of Commons.
- If she wins, she can't be challenged for another year which means she could very well be leading Tories into another GE.

I have to say as a Tory member, I want her to go.

Thoughts?

[-:Undertaker:-]

PM says she will fight on.

"I will contest that vote with everything I've got" - UK Prime Minister Theresa May says she will "stand ready to finish the job" as no-confidence vote is triggered

Follow live updates: https://t.co/gTH05gW8Yy pic.twitter.com/TeFWGMjVCj

— BBC Breaking News (@BBCBreaking) December 12, 2018

[Jarkie]

This is just becoming a joke now. No wonder the pound is slowly becoming worthless!

[-:Undertaker:-]

Cabinet and many MPs saying they support her. But remember this is a secret ballot.

[dbgtz]

how dare some Conservatives go against the will of the people

interesting that it only takes 0.00039% of Conservative members to trigger this and just under 0.0013% to make or break her support
democratic

btw undertaker I see you ommitted this but great turnout to the brexit means exit (somehow actually worse than brexit means brexit) protest apparently a whole 2000 people turned out, only 698000 to go. Quite telling really

[-:Undertaker:-]

Here's the result. The PM survives...

.@theresa_may wins 200 to 117. This is not a great result for the prime minister

— Robert Peston (@Peston) December 12, 2018

The question now is, will she try to carry on and can she?

The chances of a GE very soon just increased a lot.

[dbgtz]

that's actually more than I think a lot of people were expecting
63% majority thats brexit super mega landslide numbers you should be supporting the pm as the will of the people have spoken stop talking her down, if we all get behind her she will do a great job despite everything that's already happened

[-:Undertaker:-]

that's actually more than I think a lot of people were expecting

Indeed, and as someone pointed out - 120 of those 200 are on the government payroll (ministers, secretaries etc).

Govt source admits margin is everything - if over 100 votes against PM then “she’s in trouble”

— Paul Brand (@PaulBrandITV) December 12, 2018

- Over a third of Tory MPs have no confidence in May
- Over half of backbenchers
- May now vulnerable to Commons confidence vote
- Expectations were for only 80 rebels
- May only won after saying she wouldn't fight next election and restoring whip to suspended MPs...

— Alex Wickham (@alexwickham) December 12, 2018

Usually this would be resignation territory but I can't see her going.

63% majority thats brexit super mega landslide numbers you should be supporting the pm as the will of the people have spoken stop talking her down, if we all get behind her she will do a great job despite everything that's already happened

Well funnily enough you don't see me calling for a second vote, do you?

[FlyingJesus]

Shit result for everyone tbh. Shit for the country because now she'll try to steamroll ahead with the deal that no-one on either side likes, shit for the party because it shows that they're not listening to people and are largely going with whoever signs their cheques, and shit for May herself who can literally get nothing done because none of her plans will ever pass her own party let alone a full Commons vote

[dbgtz]

Well funnily enough you don't see me calling for a second vote, do you?

no you're just saying she should resign anyway as if she had lost because the difference between support and lack of is still too large
can you really not see any parallel here at all