purely speculation that's what they will go for
remember boris is the man who has literally been fired from jobs for lying - also the cabinet is due a reshuffle so you have no idea who is going to be there
The UK and Denmark have an opt out, but there are 7 other countries who do not and have yet to join the Euro. Sweden does not have an opt out as you just stated, but has yet to join.The opt outs that exist for Britain, Denmark(?) and Sweden(?) on the Euro exist because they are existing members and were able to bargain opt outs before signing the newer treaties. A member state applying to join the European Union has no legal choice: other than not joining the EU.
Britain is leaving the EU's Customs Union, meaning an independent Scotland would be in a different customs territory. All of the arguments the SNP made about leaving the EU, can be applied to Scotland leaving the UK - but tenfold. They won't have a leg to stand on post- Brexit and they know it.
I'd like to know examples of arguments the SNP have made that would apply to Scotland leaving the UK and also I'd like to know why none of the supposed advantages of Scotland leaving the EU would apply too.
Arguably the sooner independence happens once we've formally left, the easier it would be from a bureaucratic point of view since we'd have lost most/all the EU trade deals so arguably it would be the least impactful time compared to 2014 where they would have their own transition period where they could have lost all the EU trade deals (obviously no idea how it would have been handled, but worst outcome would be that they were out of the UK and the EU for a period). It has the potential to be a much easier sell now, somewhat depending on how shite the UK leaving the EU goes.
I don't disagree with any of this, but the narrative of the recent Conservative majority is that the people have "voted to get Brexit done" (despite the Conservatives still not actually having a majority of the votes). If you choose to accept that narrative, then it's hard to argue with the narrative that the SNP majority in Scotland is the desire for independence.The SNP and Nicola Sturgeon would argue for a third, fourth and fifth referendum if the weather changed.
There's also been no significant shift towards independence generally in the polls.
Also if you have such faith in the polls why do you not consider the shift to remain in the EU
To be clear, I don't believe that the UK election is any indicator of the SNP having a mandate for independence in the same way I don't believe the Conservative majority provides any mandate for their Brexit, but as said to Undertaker the entire narrative now is that they do have a mandate on 43.6% of the UK vote, but are arguing the SNP don't have a mandate on 45% of the Scottish vote. FPTP really isn't suitable for any of this.